10 Reasons Why McCain can win in November
This is only one possible scenario. For example, time will tell if Republicans fully unite for McCain.
- Inertia: the U.S. has had essentially a Republican majority since 1968. For John McCain to lose, 2008 would need show a major shift in the electorate.
- John McCain’s personal story of heroism, surviving as prison of war in Vietnam, is inspiring. Everyone must respect John McCain and his courage and sacrifice.
- Most Republicans will vote for McCain. The primary season caused some divisions among Republicans. The Republican base lacked a single favorite candidate and some dislike McCain’s refusal to walk in lock-step with conservative ideology as defined by the keepers of purity. Conservatives have no one else to vote for in 2008 and they like to vote.
- Attack dogs: talk radio and all right-wing media started smearing Barack Obama a long time ago. This will continue and greatly intensify.
- While the attack dogs do “the dirty work”, McCain can appear to rise above personal and unfair attacks on Obama. McCain simply needs to keep repeating, “Obama is a liberal”.
- McCain is a maverick. While this causes problems unifying the base, it creates opportunities to win over independent voters.
- McCain is popular and well-respected in the media.
- Although McCain supported the invasion of Iraq, McCain has credibility as a harsh critic of the Bush administration’s handling of the war.
- “The surge is working” in Iraq. This is probably not really true. But, if McCain convinces enough voters that this is true, he will neutralize Obama’s second biggest issue (the first one is the economy, stupid!). McCain was largely responsible to push forward a new “strategy for victory”.
- Fear: an “October surprise” happens that scares enough voters.
Also, see my other post, “10 reasons why Obama can win in November“.
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Comment by bingham37
Posted on May 12, 2008 at 9:15 am
… and there is no competitive 3rd party candidate to take votes away from him (as Ross Perot did for Bush Sr. and poor Bob Dole)
… and there are conservative (I use that term vs racist &/or elderly &/or those who don’t care about Roe v Wade etc) Dems who will vote for him in November over Obama
Overall, he’s got a much better than expected outlook for the election… more’s the pity for America.